Utah State at Duke

A tough spot for Utah State's offense with its new coach, former assistant Tim Duryea. They are unbeaten, but haven't played anybody. They live by the three, but Duke has exceptional quickness at defending the perimeter. Last season the Aggies offensive rebounding percentage was last in the conference at 22 percent, and Duke will hurt them up front with their size. Utah State is also a poor free throw shooting team. At least they still play defense, allowing 49 and 55 points the last two games. Though Utah State has lost 11 in a row to ranked teams, and they've dropped 11 consecutive road games versus Top 25 opponents. Duke (5-1) has won its first three home games by a combined 75 points. Duke is 11-3 UNDER the total at home and 8-3 UNDER in non-conference games. Duke has been playing great defense right out of the gate, on a 3-1 run UNDER the total, and this total is too high. Play the UNDER in this one.