USC at Michigan State

USC is peaking at the right time. Expected to miss this tourney late in the season, they went on to win the Pac-10 title to punch their ticket. And they destroyed the higher-seeded Boston College Eagles in round one, winnning 72-55. They have now won six straight games SU and ATS, winning by an average margin of 10.7 points per game. That includes wins over Cal, UCLA, Arizona State and BC. They have the confidence that is going to be required to knock off a number two seed. Michigan State underperformed vs. Robert Morris. They won by just 10 points against a team they were supposed to beat by 15 or more. They should have crushed them, given their massive size advantage. Under Tim Floyd, the Trojans are 55-35 ATS vs. winning opponents and 35-19 ATS as an underdog. Right now, given how these teams are playing, they are about even, so I'll take the points on the team with momentum and confidence.