USC at Arizona

This is a Pac-12 showdown, with five teams battling for first place - all with three losses. Two of them meet in this one. Southern California is on an 11-3 SU/9-5 ATS run, but is a big dog in this game. They've only been a double-digit dog in one other game and covered at Oregon. USC is 8-3 ATS versus winning teams, 7-3 ATS against foes with a winning percentage above .600, plus 9-2 ATS when following a loss of 20+ points. Arizona is 23-41 ATS against winning teams, 13-26 ATS versus opponents with a winning percentage between 60-80%, and 12-24 ATS against teams that allow 42% shooting on defense or less. Back the big dog in a close one and play USC.