UL Monroe at South Alabama

South Alabama is off a big road win as they cashed as a dog at Middle Tennessee. The Jaguars have been seriously overpriced at home however, as testified by their 2-9 ATS record. The Louisiana, Monroe Warhawks have been an improved team, and it hasn't shown in the win column. But they were once a 5-13 team that has now gone 4-4 in their last eight games. More importantly is that they are 10-6 ATS in their last 16, and playing on a higher level overall. The Jags have managed just a single cover in their last eight at home, and this one is a bit too high, so I'll back the Warhawks here.