Troy vs. Coastal Carolina

Troy has a losing record and is in Pensacola, Florida, for the Sun Belt Conference Championship game. They are second-worst offensively in the Sun Belt in points scored (65.2 ppg), last in shooting (.401), in the middle of the pack in points surrendered (68.7 ppg), second-worst in the conference in scoring margin (minus-3.5). They're 38-62 ATS versus teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game, 25-44 ATS off an upset win as a dog. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina is second-best in points scored (80.4 ppg), third in shooting (.464) and defensively in points allowed (66.8 ppg), tops in the conference in scoring margin (+13.6) and defense (39% shooting allowed).  Coastal Carolina has won six of the last eight meetings with Troy and is 18-8 ATS against opponents who force 14 or fewer turnovers per contest. Play Coastal Carolina.