Toledo at Valparaiso

The Rockets went 25-8 last season with a very good ATS record to boot, thanks to 77 points per game on offense. They outscored opponents by 9 points per contest. Valbo comes in off a losing campaign at 15-18 straight-up and 11-19 against the spread. Under head coach Tod Kowalczyk, Toledo is 48-28 ATS in expected close games with a line of -3 to +3, including 9-2 ATS last year. The Rockets are also 52-39 ATS in non-conference games under Kowalczyk. And, Toledo brings more returning starters to this game than do the Crusaders. Back Toledo here.