The Citadel at New Mexico

This is obviously a big mis-match with the Lobos boasting an undefeated home record and 8-1 mark overall, hosting a Citadel team that is winless on the road, losing by 20 points per game. But, I like the Bulldogs to keep this game within this very large number. New Mexico can't possibly be "up" for this game and while they will win, I think it's very likely they fail to cover this number. As bad as The Citadel is, they are 35-22 ATS overall the past three seasons including 25-11 as an underdog (17-7 on the road). When playing in the second of back-to-back road games, they are 11-2 ATS over that span. The Citadel keeps this one inside the number.