Texas State at South Alabama

It has been a long season for both Texas State, and South Alabama, as each have each failed to get to 10 wins this season. But it's the Bobcats that look to be the improved team, as they started out a miserable 3-11 ATS, but have since been 6-4 ATS in their last 10, and have become an under-valued team. The same can't be said for South Alabama who took a soft earlier season schedule to a 5-5 record, but have since been an ugly 4-17. The Bobcats have generated a 15-7 ATS mark in their last 22 vs. a losing team, while the Jags are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27. Take the points on Texas State.