Texas State at Houston

Texas State is a big dog but playing well in winning six of eight. Texas State has won four in a row, leading the Sun Belt in field goal percentage defense (.353) and scoring defense (58.6 points per game), while the offense shoots 47.7 percent as a team. Texas State is 37-20 ATS on the road against teams who attempt 21+ three-pointers per game, 10-2 ATS after two straight home games, plus 12-5 ATS as an underdog of 12 or more. They were a +15 underdog at Baylor and lost just 72-63. Houston is not a strong defensive team allowing 73.6 points per game and opponents shoot .390 from long range. Play Texas State.