Texas A&M at Illinois State

Illinois State has home court and is favored, but steps up from the Missouri Valley Conference to play an SEC team. Illinois State has a bad offense, shooting 41% as a team (317th) and ranks 232nd in the nation in scoring. They've lost three of their last five games and eight of 14. They come off a win and cover against Morehead State, but the Redbirds are 3-7 ATS following a win and 3-12 ATS following a spread cover. Illinois State didn't step up much, but they got crushed by VCU (96-58) and lost twice to Wichita by 15 and 19 points. Texas A&M is a powerhouse defensive team, third in the SEC in points allowed and tops at defending the three-pointer (28%). The Aggies opened their run in the CBI with a convincing 59-43 victory over Wyoming. They had a 41-27 rebounding edge and allowed 29.8% shooting! Texas A&M is on a 7-3 ATS run, and the Aggies are 6-2 ATS against a team with a winning record, so grab the dog to win the game. Play Texas A&M on the moneyline.