TCU vs. Gonzaga

TCU has turned up its defense allowing 67.6 points over the last three games. They won two of those and are on an 8-2-1 run UNDER the total. TCU was second in the Big 12 in 3-point shooting defense and is 10-1 UNDER in March action, plus 82-56 UNDER after failing to cover in two straight. This is a tough matchup for them, though, with TCU's offense sixth in the 10-team Big 12 in scoring, shooting, and 3-point shooting, plus eighth at the free-throw line. TCU is on a 5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS run overall, and 125-162 ATS versus teams that outscore their opponents by 8+ points per contest. No. 3 seed Gonzaga has won 10 straight shooting 38.7% beyond the arc as a team with a powerful frontcourt of 6-10 senior Drew Timme (20.9 ppg, 7.3 rpg) and 6-8 senior Anton Watson (11.4 ppg, 6 rpg). Gonzaga is 94-68 ATS when playing its second game away from home in three days and 201-162 ATS after a game where they failed to cover. They're also 12-4 UNDER the total after eight or more straight victories. Take Gonzaga + UNDER the total.