Syracuse at Louisville

It has been a hard and fast fall at Louisville, off to a woeful 2-12 start with one of those wins coming against Florida A&M. Louisville is averaging just 61 PPG, and has played UNDER the total in 9 of their last 12. There is value here because Louisville has improved offensively. The Cardinals in their last 12 games have seen them go from scoring 53.4 PPG in the first seven, to 70 PPG in their last five. While the offense has gotten better, the defense has not. Louisville is allowing 79.5 PPG on the season. The fact that they have added 17 PPG offensively makes the total here look much lower than it should. I like the OVER in this one.