St. Joseph's at Richmond

Richmond has the higher seed but is getting 8 points. Hmmm. We actually like the Spiders' chances to get the win here. St. Joes' is off an easy opening round win, but let's not forget this team closed the season losing six of their last nine games. Richmond is a team that can force a lot of mistakes as they averaged 16.6 forced turnovers per game and 8.4 steals per game. The Hawks are just 12-23 the past two seasons vs. winning teams and they have struggled with slow-down teams like Richmond, going 6-8 vs. teams that average under 54 shots per game over that span. Richmond has won five of their last seven games vs. winning teams this season including a 4-2 mark vs. teams at 60%+. They are also 4-1 vs. teams that shoot well like Joes. We see this game close at the end and while we see value on Richmond plus the points, we give them a very legitimate shot at winning so we'll back them on the moneyline.