South Alabama at Troy

Troy has the better record, and destroyed South Alabama in their last meeting 80-63. The takeaway from that game was the Trojans displayed defense that held the Jags to 38.5% shooting, their lowest shooting percentage over their last 11 games. Shooting is going to be decisive here, and I give the Trojans the edge down the stretch when the game could be tight. I certainly trust their capability down the stretch to get an all-important stop, and come away with a tourney opening win, and a .500 record that will come along with it. Play Troy on the moneyline.