This pick was released to clients on March 01, 2015 at 9:25AM ET.
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SMU at Connecticut

March 1, 2015
img2:00 PM Eastern

A pair of powerhouse defenses meet, so don't look for much scoring. SMU has a half-game lead over Tulsa, and the Mustangs host Tulsa in the regular season finale on March 8, so there is plenty to play for. SMU has held opponents to 37.9% from the field (No. 1 in the American Conference, 10th in the NCAA). The Mustangs have held 17 of 28 opponents at or below 40%, and they are 11-4 UNDER the total on the road. SMU leads The American and is sixth nationally in margin between FG% and FG% defense (+10.8), while going 10-4 UNDER the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. UConn knows about defense, too, winning the title last season. They just held East Carolina to 49 points, part of a 21-8 run UNDER the total in conference play. The Huskies are 45-22 UNDER the total at home, and points will be hard to come by today. Play this one UNDER the total.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 124 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
SMU Mustangs
26
47
73
Connecticut Huskies img
32
49
81
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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