SE Missouri State at Morehead State

Both of these teams score like crazy. The difference is in the defense. While SE Missouri State doesn't play it, Morehead State's defense is pretty solid (73.1 allowed per game). And, if there's a place where the Redhawks' offense struggles it's on the road where they average nearly 10 points per game less than they do at home. The Redhawks are off two home-cooking games in which they scored 94 and 102 points. The problem is, this team is just 1-9 ATS in their last ten games after scoring 85+ in back-to-back games. Under head coach Dickey Nutt, the Redhawks are just 13-24 ATS in January games including 1-11 ATS the past two seasons. Take Morehead State. Also take the UNDER. In their last seven games vs. winning teams, SE Missouri State is 5-2 to the UNDER. Meanwhile, the Eagles are 7-2 UNDER in their last nine games following a double-digit home loss and they are also 4-1 UNDER in their last five home games vs. losing teams. Lay the points on the home team and take the UNDER.