San Diego State at UNLV

This line is just a bit too large as these teams aren't that unevenly matched. UNLV is 10-1 at home but just 3-5 ATS. San Diego State is a .500 road team and just one game under .500 against the spread. Versus common opponents this year, they have performed similarly (UNLV is 1-4 while SDSU is 1-3). In the last two games played here in Vegas, San Diego State has won and covered both so they have a decent shot here. SDSU is off a cover as a 12 point road dog at Air Force so we know they are playing solid ball right now. Take the points.