Saint Mary's at Valparaiso

St. Mary's is 28-5 on the season, and many feel they got slighted in the NCAA Tournament selection process. The Gaels' problem is scheduling an out-of-conference slate of opponents that was inferior to most they were weighed against, as well as a true lack of quality wins. This team started the season 11-1 SU and 12-0 ATS, but finished just 5-12 ATS, which included an ugly 2-8 ATS on the road. Valparaiso is right there with them logging a 28-6 mark on the season. The Crusaders have been 16-2 SU at home winning on average here by 16 points per game. The difference here is the Valpo defense that has allowed 38% shooting against them on the season, and St. Mary's shoots 4.3% lower outside the confines of their own building, which will be enough to put Valpo over the top. Play on Valparaiso.