Robert Morris at Villanova

The Robert Morris Colonials finished the season on a 19-4 run, and have played as a much-improved team. This team isn't going to run up and down the floor and get in a track meet with a much superior and more athletic Villanova team, and they will run their half-court sets, and play tough defense, which is what they do best. This is a team that allowed 70+ points in 12 of their first 17 games, but just twice in their last 17 games, so they have created a winning formula. The Wildcats opened the season at 20-1, but really have struggled to find that level since, finishing the season a disappointing 4-6. It is an offense that peaked too early, scoring 80+ in 14 of 17 games, but have since have not touched 80 in seven straight games. This is a lot of points with a struggling offense, facing a slowdown team that plays some defense. I'll go with Robert Morris and the UNDER here.