Princeton at Kent State

Princeton rolls in here at just 2-4 on the season. Facing a 5-2 team, the line is just 3.5 here. This line is begging you to take the small favorite. Don't bite. Princeton's defense is allowing just 58.7 points per game and I expect Kent State to struggle offensively in this one. Princeton has been very effective vs. good teams, going 87-61 ATS in their last 148 vs. winning teams. Over the past three seasons they are 12-2 ATS vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points per game. The Tigers are also 16-6 ATS over that span as an underdog and 17-5 ATS following a game in which they lost against the spread. Meanwhile, Kent State is 0-7 ATS under head coach Rob Senderoff at home after a game in which they covered the spread. I expect Kent to get caught off guard here. Take Princeton.