Portland at Pacific

The Portland Pilots are destined for their fifth straight 20-loss season. They are just 1-14 SU in their last 15 games, managing to cover just three. Pacific is 19-8 on the season and this one looks easy. That is until you dig down into the numbers. Pacific played a very easy early non-conference schedule and has been a bit overrated, converting those 19 wins into just a 10-15 ATS log. They are just 2-6 ATS as a favorite in their last eight, and have dropped their last three as a -9.5 favorite or more. They likely leave the "A" game in the locker room here for another win and no cover. Go with Portland.