Pittsburgh at Duke

Duke is known for their huge homecourt advantage, and have a strong team every year that is mostly 5* recruits. The record and reputation make it difficult for them to cover at home despite winning 116 and losing just 15 here since 2016. They have a losing ATS record at home over their last 23 played here. They are also 57-11 SU at home in conference games, but just 31-36-1 ATS. That drops to 3-10-1 ATS when their conference opponent is .550 or better. This is a referendum against a team that is so good at home they are being asked to cover numbers that are not realistic. Make the play on Pittsburgh.