Pepperdine at Gonzaga

The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been a national force for over a decade, despite their mid-major billing. They have St. Mary's on the radar a week from tonight, and with a limited Pepperdine team coming in, I just don't see them delivering the knockout punch tonight. The Bulldogs have also failed in their last two attempts at covering 20+. Conference dogs of 20+ are very good bets, having covered over 60% of the time over the last seven years. The Wave have been impressive when following a loss as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following a setback. The Bulldogs always carry an inflated price tag at home and have managed to cover just two of their last seven here. Take Pepperdine.