Old Dominion at Virginia Commonwealth

A win here gives the victor a ticket to the Colonial title game tomorrow night. Both of these teams got here by way of defense. ODU allows just 60.8 points per game and over their last five games, that has dipped to 57.8. VCU allows 64 points per game and over their last five, that has dropped to 56.4 ppg. This season the Monarchs are 7-1 UNDER on the road vs. good defensive opponents (those holding foes to 42% or less from the field). They are also 8-2 UNDER on the road vs. conference opponents. The Rams are a perfect 8-0 UNDER the past three seasons as a neutral-court favorite. I like the UNDER here.