Northern Kentucky vs. Wisconsin Green Bay

Green Bay is 2-0 versus Northern Kentucky this season, winning two close games, 80-78 and 87-84 in overtime. Can the Phoenix beat Northern Kentucky for a third time this season? Nope. Even though Green Bay is the higher seed in this Horizon League Tournament at No. 5, while Northern Kentucky is seventh-seeded, the oddsmaker has Northern Kentucky as the favorite. It is very difficult to beat a team three times in a season, especially when that team has the better overall statistics like Northern Kentucky does. The Norse rank 35th in scoring, averaging 82.5 points per game. That is nearly seven more points per game than what Green Bay averages. Northern Kentucky also has superior rebounding, assist, steal, and block numbers compared to Green Bay. The Norse have a plus-186 scoring differential on the season. Green Bay has only a plus-19 scoring differential. The Norse have the best player on the court, too, in Donovan Oday. He is averaging 18.7 points per game. Take Northern Kentucky.