North Texas at Kansas State

The Sun Belt certainly gains no notoriety in NCAAB, but the conference has snuck up on a lot of teams in the NCAA Tournament, sporting an 8-3 ATS mark in their last 11 in the big dance. The Mean Green has been really coming on at the right time and will enter here off the confidence of 11 straight in the win column. The defense has really delivered, holding opponents in the 60s or less in 10 of their last 12 games. The Wildcats are not exactly coming in strong at just 2-3 in their last five, nearly matching their loss total of four through their first 28 games. The Mean Green is a sterling 18-5 ATS in their last 23 at a neutral site, and 8-2 to the UNDER off a win. This one is closer than it looks, and I will go with North Texas and the UNDER here.