North Dakota State vs. Michigan State

Michigan State is playing in its 28th consecutive NCAA Tournament, so coach Tom Izzo has plenty of experience with what it takes to go deep in the tourney. His players learned a lesson, losing 88-84 to UCLA in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament, and that is they have to be at the top of their game for 40 minutes, no matter who they are playing. The Spartans are #20 in the country, allowing only 66.2 points per game, #16 in defensive field-goal percentage (.397), and #50 in defending the 3-pointer (.310). North Dakota State has gone UNDER three in a row and seven of 10. Its last three games have stayed UNDER by an average of 14.5 points. The Bison are 5-1 UNDER their past six Thursday games. Jeremy Fears leads the Spartans with 15.5 points and 9.1 assists per game. North Dakota State has outright non-conference losses (1-4 ATS) against Oregon State, UC Davis, UC Irvine, UTEP, and Arkansas State. Take Michigan State to cover, and bet big on the UNDER.