The Tar Heels are 8-3 at home this season, but on the road they are just 3-3. And since the start of conference play, they have really struggled going 1-3, scoring just 62.7 points per game. Virginia is 8-2 at home thanks to a stifling defense that has allowed a ridiculous 49.9 points per game at home this season! This could be a long day for the Heels. Since last season, the Cavaliers are 17-8 ATS as a home favorite, including 9-1 ATS in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Despite all the success for Roy Williams here, the Tar Heels are just 21-35 ATS under Williams on the road when facing a great defense like they are today (teams that allow under 40% shooting). Take the home team in this one.
This UNDER pick is based on a "cluster" wager system. This system is 20-13 this season and has hit 58% over the past decade. Play this game UNDER the total based on this system.
