New Orleans at UL Monroe

Things have not panned out well for the New Orleans Privateers this season. And as the season has progressed, they have taken the donut both straight-up and ATS in their last seven games. Their most competitive game in this stretch was a 1-point loss to the Warhawks, so they have to be playing inspired that they can steal one here. Those ugly numbers have inflated this pointspread, which for UL Monroe isn't a good spot. Besides lay-down wins vs. Alcorn State and a couple of non Div-1 teams, their wins are revealing in that they have had three by a single point, a pair of others by just 3, and another by just 4, with one win topping this number. This is too big a number for the Warhawks, and the Privateers will hand inside this one, so I’m going with New Orleans here.