New Orleans at Sam Houston

The New Orleans Privateers are just 4-6 but looking at the opponents that include LSU, Butler, SMU, and Mississippi  State as well as a game in Hawaii, so I think this team has some hidden value. Sam Houston State is 7-4 but three of the wins were vs. schools no one has heard of while the other four certainly don't jump off the page. The schedule has been so weak that four of the seven wins came in unlined games. The stats on these teams show a distance that makes the line seem OK, but when you dig down and look at where those stats came from, the Privateers are a lot closer than it looks. Take the points on New Orleans.