Nebraska Omaha at Hawaii

Nebraska Omaha has put together an impressive looking 10-4 record to start the season, but a closer look may take some of the luster out of it. They own a pair of wins vs. the likes of Waldorf, and Iowa Weslayan. They have won their other eight games vs. teams that are collectively 41-60 on the season, and the only team they beat with a winning record is Seattle. Hawaii is off to a 10-3 start losing only to Boise State, Missouri, and New Mexico State by a combined 13 points. They also own wins vs. Montana, and St. Mary's - a couple of strong teams. While the records appear similar, the path to get here has been dramatically different. When Hawaii has been a favorite of -5.5 or more, their opponents could not get anything going offensively, as they have averaged just 62.5 points per game, and I think the total is over-done here. Hawaii is a strong 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team over .600, and they are 6-2 to the UNDER at home in their last eight, as well as 6-1 to the UNDER when following a straight-up win in their last seven. Take both Hawaii and the UNDER in this one.