NC Wilmington at East Carolina

North Carolina-Wilmington has won four of seven games, but is a big dog here. The schedule has been brutal, opening with six of seven on the road, yet here they are close to .500 overall.  They are off a close loss to SF Austin, playing tough defense allowing 36% shooting. The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record, and 7-3-1 ATS against Conference USA.  You need defense and a slower pace against an uptempo team like East Carolina. And the Pirates are 22-51-4 ATS in their last 77 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play North Carolina-Wilmington.