Murray State at Eastern Illinois

Eastern Illinois is averaging just 63 points per game on the season while giving up 72. The result is a 5-11 straight-up record and are even worse ATS (2-12). Eastern Illinois is also a perfect 0-7 ATS this season vs. winning teams. Murray State's offense has gotten hot since the start of conference play. In conference games, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS, outscoring opponents 85 to 71 on average. Dating back to last season, the Panthers are 1-8 ATS as a home underdog. Go with Murray State in this one.