Middle Tenn State vs. Saint Mary's CA

The Blue Raiders put together a season of 27 wins a year ago, and topped that this season with 28. the problem with this team is that they can score against weak Sun belt Conference teams, but in their four games this season vs. quality competition, the offense is weak. They scored 45 vs. Florida, 65 vs. Ole Miss, 49 vs. Belmont, and 56 vs. Vanderbilt. That is an average of just 53.8 points per game. St. Mary's has been similar in their biggest games vs. BYU and Gonzaga, the last two vs. the Zags, and both vs. BYU went UNDER the total, and they have now played seven straight UNDERs off an ATS loss. In their last 19 at a neutral site, Middle Tennessee is 13-5-1 to the UNDER. This will be a low-scoring contest here, so play the UNDER.