Missouri State at Miami

Many thought that this Missouri State Bears team was an NCAA Tournament team, but their 4-point loss to Indiana State kept them from being one. They have won 26 times this season. The Hurricanes rode a soft out-of-conference schedule, but paid the price down the stretch where they were just 9-11 in their last 20 games. The Canes are 0-4 ATS at home in their last four as a favorite of less than 7, as well as 1-6-1 ATS following a straight-up win. The Bears have translated well out of conference as they have posted a 10-4 ATS mark in their last 14. Take the points and play Missouri State in this one.