Mississippi State at Florida

Mississippi State is a huge dog at rival Florida, but why? Mississippi State is 2-2 the last four games, including a win over Florida State as a dog 62-55. They play great defense and prefer a slow pace. They come off a double-digit loss at home to Tennessee, but the defense allowed just 35% shooting and the Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. Florida has been a disappointment, losing two of the last three games, including as a -9.5 point favorite to UConn and as a -6.5 favorite to Florida State in a 65-63 loss - the same team MSU just beat. The Gators are 1-7-1 ATS at home and the Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play the points on Mississippi State.