Mississippi at Mississippi State

This is always an intense battle between SEC in-state rivals. Mississippi St. has been the better team in terms of record as the Bulldogs come in at 12-5 on the season. Ole Miss is just 9-8 but they completely outplayed the Bulldogs just 2 weeks ago at home in a convincing 10 point win as a dog. They matched the Bulldogs stat for stat in that game and outshot them for the win. While Mississippi St. may have revenge on their mind, they were just a 2.5 point favorite 2 weeks ago on the road, and now this has been bet up to -12 at home. I think the 10 point line change here is drastically overdone in a rivalry game. Make the play on Ole Miss.