Miami Ohio at Illinois

Miami Ohio is a team that likes to limit possessions. Games vs. top teams in Louisville, Xavier and USC were all played in the 40s and 50s. Illinois isn't interested in up-tempo either, and this is a lot of points to give up in this kind of game vs. a good opponent. Miami may be without its top scorer Michael Bramos, but Illinois doesn't have anyone averaging over 11 ppg, and it is unlikely someone goes off for 25 here. The Redbirds take care of the ball, as they turn it over just 12.5 times per game. They shoot 47% so they take advantage of each possession, and have played some quality opponents. One huge area of concern for Illinois is at the line. They are hitting just 58% which ranks almost last among all schools. Lots of points in a short possession game vs a good team, especially if you can't make the freebies.