Marshall at James Madison

It's a Sun Belt Tournament quarterfinal battle from Pensacola, Florida. Marshall knocked off Georgia State, 86-74, two days ago to advance. They're on a 19-11 run UNDER the total, including 11-3 UNDER versus winning teams, and will lean on defense in this matchup as the offense shoots 40.8% from the field. Marshall is also 41-21 ATS after a combined score of 155+ points in three consecutive contests. James Madison is winning games but is overvalued, on a 4-7 spread run. They're second in the conference in points given up (69.3 per game) and in field goal shooting allowed (.414). James Madison is just 54-79 ATS after failing to cover four or five of their last six, so back the big dog in a defensive duel. Play Marshall + UNDER the total as a Max Play.