Manhattan vs. Louisville

Louisville is a dominant defensive team which really shows up this time of the year. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Cardinals' last five games following a win and 4-1 UNDER the total against a team with a winning percentage above .600.  Louisville is second in the American in points allowed and field goal shooting defense, allowing .398%. If there's one weakness the defending champs have it's free throw shooting, ranked #9 in the conference at a brick-laying 65%. Now they face a Manhattan team that can also play defense, second in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference in points allowed and tops in field goal shooting defense allowing .398% - the same as Louisville. Manhattan is even worse at the charity stripe at 62% and the team is on a 5-2 run UNDER the total, playing its best defense at the right time. This team won at South Carolina of the SEC allowing 42% shooting, and lost to George Washington by 6. Look for a close, low-scoring battle. Play the points on Manhattan, and take the UNDER.