Louisville at Virginia

Louisville shoots 41.9% from the field as a team, and just 28.9% from long-range. They come off a 95-76 loss to Kentucky as a +14 dog and rank last in the ACC defensively in points surrendered (75.4 per game) and shooting allowed (.453%). Louisville is on a 28-45 spread run and lost to Virginia last year on this court, 75-60. Virginia is home and won't be in a good mood after getting walloped at Notre Dame, 76-54. the defense is No. 1 in the ACC in points and shooting allowed. They've given up 47, 47, 54, and 44 points in four of their last five home contests. Virginia is 135-104 ATS after two consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers. Play Virginia.