Long Beach State at California Davis

Long Beach St. has had some very good teams over the years, but this isn't one of them. The 49ers are an ugly 6-10 on the season. They don't get to the line enough where they generate just 13 points per game, and they don't make enough threes (6), and in today's metric-driven college basketball, those are bad numbers. UC Davis is getting 18 points a game at the line, and UC Davis has been very tough at home, where they are 4-1 ATS. That's because they are limiting opponents to 38.2% shooting on their home floor. I think they added a comfortable win to their home record here. Make the play on UC Davis.