This pick was released to clients on March 28, 2025 at 12:30PM ET.
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Kentucky vs. Tennessee

March 28, 2025
img7:39 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Tennessee has lost just seven games, and two have been to Kentucky. Can the Wildcats win all three meetings? It's not going to be easy. With a trip to the Elite Eight on the line, defense is often a difference-maker. Tennessee is sixth in the nation in points given up (62.9 per game) and No. 1 in shooting allowed (38.2%). By contrast, Kentucky allowed the second-most points in the SEC (77.2 per game) and ranked 11th in the 16-team league in field goal shooting allowed (43.5%). Kentucky is on a 4-5 spread run, including 2-3 ATS as an underdog. Kentucky is 21-5 when shooting above 30% from 3-point land, but 3-6 below that. Tennessee's offense is fourth in the conference from the free-throw line (74.4%), while Kentucky has gone 22 of 36 from the charity stripe in two NCAA Tournament games. Play Tennessee. 

1.5 units on Tennessee -4.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Kentucky Wildcats
28
37
65
Tennessee Volunteers img
43
35
78
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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