Kansas State at Baylor

Kansas State is all about slowing the pace down. They are sixth in the Big 12 in points surrendered, third in field goal shooting defense (.397), and No. 1 at defending the three-pointer (.263). Kansas State has a winning record overall as well as on the road (on a 6-3 spread run). The Wildcats have covered six straight as an underdog, as well as seven straight on the road, and they are 8-3-2 ATS following a defeat. Seven of the teams' eight losses have come by a total of 28 points. Baylor has failed to cover five of eight and is not reliable from the charity stripe at 68% (seventh in the conference). The last two times they've been a double-digit favorite, they lost at home to Texas Tech (65-62) and Oklahoma State (61-54) in defensive tilts. Also, the underdog is 9-4-1 ATS when these rivals clash. Play Kansas State.