IUPUI at Youngstown State

Youngstown State is laying too many points in this matchup after losing its past two games outright and the Penguins are 0-4 ATS their past four lined games. Also, the Penguins have played a weak schedule and, for example, were blown out by 30 points by Michigan when they were up against tougher competition. Youngstown State's past three games have gone OVER and it is 5-0 OVER its past five games as a favorite of at least 13 points. IUPUI is 10-2 OVER its past 12 games as a road underdog of 13 or more points. The Jaguars covered the spread two games in a row against Detroit Mercy and Cleveland State before suffering a horrible shooting game against Robert Morris. They shot just 32 percent, which was about 13 percentage points below their average. Youngstown State is 0-6-1 ATS following an ATS loss. Take IUPUI and the OVER.