Iowa State at Miami

TJ Otzelberger has done a miraculous job in turning around the Iowa State program as the Cyclones have a 22-12 record following a 2-22 season in 2020-21. The Cyclones covered the number in the first two games of the tournament beating LSU and Wisconsin as underdogs and now they are a slight dog in this matchup. Both games easily stayed UNDER and the games averaged only 108 points and Iowa State allowed just 33.3 percent shooting and 22.5 points in the first half. Miami also went UNDER its two games against USC and Auburn and held the Tigers to a .304 field goal percentage. The Hurricanes were underdogs in those two games, but they are 0-5 ATS their past five NCAA Tournament games as favorites and 5-15-1 ATS as favs at neutral sites. Miami is 10-3 UNDER after an ATS win and Iowa State is 5-2 UNDER following an ATS win. Take the points with Iowa State, plus the First-Half UNDER and the full-game UNDER.