Iowa State at Kansas

Iowa State likes to run, but Kansas is a powerhouse defensive team allowing 42% shooting in Big 12 play. Iowa State's offense runs best at home, as the UNDER is 6-1 in the Cyclones' last seven road games. Plus they are 6-1 UNDER the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. What will surprise many is that for all of Iowa State's running, they are a strong defensive team at #1 in the Big 12 in field goal shooting defense, allowing just 35.7%. Iowa State just topped Kansas State and allowed 42% shooting. Kansas also knows something about defense, having held their last two opponents to 68 and 69 points, including holding up-tempo Baylor to 39% shooting. Kansas just hung 91 on TCU, but the UNDER is 6-2 in the Jayhawks' last eight games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. This is a big conference clash, so look for both teams to play more tough defense than oddsmakers and the public expect. Play the UNDER.