Iowa at Purdue

The Boilermakers are a good candidate to be a Final Four team, but the one thing this team doesn't do is score a lot of points. They’ve touched 80 points just once in their last 12 games and with a total set in the 120s here, and looking at a number just shy of 20, it will be hard to push this one into a 20+ point win. The Hawkeyes are down, and play slow to shorten games. In their last 11 games, no team has topped the 71-point mark against them, so looking at the likelihood of 60s winning this one at best I see a lot of value in taking inflated number here that may be unapproachable. I'll go with Iowa here.