Iowa at Michigan State

Coach Tom Izzo has all his pieces back, and if this is like most of the teams he has had in the past they will be ready to make a deep run come tourney time. This is a team that has the potential to win it all this year. On the season, they are 11-4 in this building, lead by a very stout defense that gives up just 63.7 points per game. Compare that to the 74.8 Iowa gives up on the road. In their last five games, the Hawkeyes are 2-3, allowing a ridiculous 82.6 points per game. They look a bit worn out from the rigors of the rugged Big-10 where every game is hotly contested. Iowa has now lost five of their last nine, failing to cover each of their last four. Under Tom Izzo, the Spartans are 206-75 straight-up as a favorite inlcuding 26-4 in home games when favored in this range (-165 to -250 on the moneyline). Make your play on Michigan State on the moneyline.