This pick was released to clients on October 11, 2012 at 11:31PM ET.
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Illinois State at Illinois Chicago

December 23, 2006
img3:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Illinois Chicago -2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS

This is an interesting match-up that caught our attention. These teams have been mirror images of each other this season save one important item. These teams are both lacking a big go-to scorer but they both have great balance, as each will bring 4 double-digit scorers into this contest. There isn't much to pick and choose about these teams but we isolate a very significant difference. Illinois St. has been unbeatable at home sporting a 6-0 record, but have failed miserably on the road at just 1-4. Illinois-Chicago has been equally horrible on the road, posting a 1-7 mark, but at home have also been unbeatable at 5-0. Illinois St. has not only lost recently on the road, but they are 0-7 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Meanwhile Ill-Chicago has been 23-11 ATS vs teams with a losing record at home. We will go with the stark contrast here and back the 5-0 home team, vs the 1-4 road team with short points.

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